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A comment on What I learned trying to classify abortion access across the rich world. Parent comment

Re:What I learned trying to classify abortion access across ... by norwalkbear on Monday July 18, 2022 @04:26PM (#32143195)
Without a source, I have to say it sounds like bullshit. Europe mostly only has abortion upto 14 weeks and is a very liberal place.
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Re:What I learned trying to classify abortion access across ... by lesuorac on Monday July 18, 2022 @05:26PM (#32144024)
Europe may be liberal but the parent was certainly talking about USA.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/where-americans-stand-o...

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Re:What I learned trying to classify abortion access across ... by norwalkbear on Monday July 18, 2022 @05:41PM (#32144264)
Polls look pretty extremely variable. Some polls show half of Americans are against abortion.

Some polls show that of the Americans that support abortion, support drops after the first trimester.

I'm calling BS on the original op statement that 72% of Americans support abortion.This seems like the shy republican polling problem in 2016 all over again.

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Re:What I learned trying to classify abortion access across ... by lesuorac on Monday July 18, 2022 @05:53PM (#32144416)
> Polls look pretty extremely variable. Some polls show half of Americans are against abortion. > Some polls show that of the Americans that support abortion, support drops after the first trimester.

Those are two separate claims that can easily both be true. A big problem with polls about abortion is that its not actually a well defined term (how many weeks? is mothers life in danger? rape? etc).

> This seems like the shy republican polling problem in 2016 all over again.

Not quite on topic, but polls did not give hilary a 100% chance to win the 2016 election. Polls are extremely good at predicting events (compared to say a literal coin flip) but lower probability events do occur. Go flip a coin a bunch of times and you'll get 2 heads in a row (25% chance! thats even worse than what 538 gave trump [1]).

[1]: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

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