Re:Greg Robinson fixed NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, re...
by zmgsabst on Friday July 15, 2022 @04:23PM
(#32112356)
I think the question is, imagine we built 10 — and got an outcome like:
2x — failed to deploy, mission lost
4x — early operation error, 6mo lifetime
3x — lower performance, 3 year lifetime
1x — mission successful, 10 year lifetime
…do we get a better deal building them with larger faults, at a lower cost?
A lot of expense is in developing technologies, assembly tooling, and test rigs — all of which is easier if we don’t need them to be as assured because only 1 in 10 needs to succeed.
Re:Greg Robinson fixed NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, re...
by WalterBright on Friday July 15, 2022 @04:28PM
(#32112416)
Right. And if they are launched serially, you've got a chance to correct mistakes in the previous launches. Odds of success increase with every launch.
Successful launch and arrival at the observation point? The 6 month setup period before observations can be made?
I contend that success here is a full mission that yields science data over decades of observation. If we cut down the acceptable error rate so we can launch early, how does that impact longevity?