Re:Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?
by sigmoid10 on Thursday July 14, 2022 @05:55PM
(#32101918)
>Where are the battle lines?
I think this is a pretty naive take and basically assumes that a second civil war would play out like the first. If we ever see a such a war, it won't be some guys from one walled off area fighting guys in a different area trying to win land. The battle lines won't be determined geographically. This will also definitely not be a conventional war like the first civil war. Such 40/60 places will not try to topple their neighbouring states for their own benefit, they'll be fighting among themselves. If you stir enough hatred, people will eventually clash in the streets. If you keep stirring, things might spill over to other regions. If this engulfs the entire US, you could have a full blown war without a single clear line of land along which people shoot each other. The lines will be determined by ethnicity, wealth, religion or a thousand other sources of conflict that are not so easily separated on a map.
I think this is a pretty naive take and basically assumes that a second civil war would play out like the first. If we ever see a such a war, it won't be some guys from one walled off area fighting guys in a different area trying to win land. The battle lines won't be determined geographically. This will also definitely not be a conventional war like the first civil war. Such 40/60 places will not try to topple their neighbouring states for their own benefit, they'll be fighting among themselves. If you stir enough hatred, people will eventually clash in the streets. If you keep stirring, things might spill over to other regions. If this engulfs the entire US, you could have a full blown war without a single clear line of land along which people shoot each other. The lines will be determined by ethnicity, wealth, religion or a thousand other sources of conflict that are not so easily separated on a map.