Re:Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than expected
by JamesBarney on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @08:51PM
(#32090652)
If the government drastically increased interest rates during covid you're right we'd have less inflation. I don't see the argument here.
> This is what people seem to forget. Trade involves two items, so you gotta look at both sides of the trade (in this case credit+dollars vs goods). Dollar supply has increased dramatically since 2020, credit near free, while the supply of goods has decreased. Obviously that's a recipe for inflation.
I don't think anyone forgets this. The standard model says supply constrained + generous fiscal/monetary policy = inflation.
Re:Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than expected
by Rury on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @09:00PM
(#32090711)
Looks like I misinterpreted your post.
The parent post mentioned "money printing coming home to roost. Lots of folks say that isn’t what it is." I too seem to have encountered people saying the money printing is a non-factor, and it's just supply chain problems. In reality, both are factors.
This is what people seem to forget. Trade involves two items, so you gotta look at both sides of the trade (in this case credit+dollars vs goods). Dollar supply has increased dramatically since 2020, credit near free, while the supply of goods has decreased. Obviously that's a recipe for inflation.
Had dollars+credit decreased with the supply of goods instead, people selling goods would have trouble demanding more dollars. For hyperbole, if only 1 dollar existed, no one could sell something for more than 1 dollar, no matter the supply of goods. People might still try to demand more than 1 dollar for their goods, but trade with dollars would cease to happen until they reduced their demands to <= 1 dollar.