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Re:FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast by filoleg on Thursday June 30, 2022 @12:25PM (#31934860)
Pretty well, to be honest.

By 2020, no one was underestimating Trump anymore, and it was clear people cared enough to vote him out for real. The energy at his rallies was no longer there. His subreddit, where the massive following was making strong waves during 2016 elections, was gone. Hillary not running anymore helped as well.

And that's just the most obvious things.

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