I don't have tremendous faith in the execution nor insight of legacy automakers. I want to believe, as every EV sold is a win, but it ain't looking great and Tesla isn't slowing down.
EDIT: Thanks V__, I misremembered this Reddit thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/teslamotors/comments/vk11qi/tesla_p... (referring to https://electrek.co/2022/06/24/tesla-prepares-upgrade-gigafa... which sources from Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-23/tesla-sai...) I have corrected my above statement. Facts matter!
EDIT: @gamblor956 I have heard Tesla is going to die since 2009. The broken record is getting old. Scaling is hard, but they have not failed yet. Obsession enables success.
Mercedes sells about 2 million non-commercial cars a year [1], a bit more than Tesla has produced since 2009 [2].
[1] https://group.mercedes-benz.com/unternehmen/ueberblick.html [2] https://fortunly.com/statistics/tesla-car-sales-statistics/
Plus, there's quite a few reasons that the automakers have many smaller factories rather than a few giant ones. Tesla will find out why the hard way (and they've already somewhat experienced those problems already).
Unless China locks down the plant due to a COVID outbreak.
BTW, this is exactly what everyone predicted would happen when the legacy automakers finally moved into the EV space: they would start using their decades of automotive knowledge and bring it to bear on building EVs. And with the exception of Toyota's recent EV crossover bzwhatever, every review notes how much better the legacy automaker's EV under review is compared to a Tesla vehicle.