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Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by lpolovets on Friday June 24, 2022 @10:21PM (#31871871)
(I'm a seed stage VC.)

In general, seed stage is less affected by the recent downturn than later stages. Which makes sense, since the time to exit for a seed stage company can be the better part of a decade, so today's macro climate has less impact.

A few tips and observations:

- from what I've seen, most seed funds are still investing, although on average at a 20-40% slower cadence than 6 months ago. On the other hand, some later stage investors are now more active at seed because that lets them keep investing while putting less capital at risk.

- assume valuations will be closer to what they were ~2 years ago. Earlier this year, the median seed valuation felt like ~$20m post, and we saw a number of $30m-$40m post money valuations. Right now we're seeing more valuations in the teens, and seed round sizes are more frequently $2m-3m instead of $4m-$6m.

- longer runways are favored. The fundraising climate over the next year is uncertain -- especially for Series A and beyond -- so the typical "raise for 18+ mo of runway" advice has turned into "raise for 24-30 mo of runway."

- cash efficiency and faster time to revenue are favored over growth in this climate.

- capital intensive businesses will be much harder to raise for.

- investor diligence is shifting away from FOMO and rushed decisions, and back toward normal diligence processes. Assume that investments decisions will take an extra 1-4 weeks for each investor.

It's not all bad news:

- anecdotally, it feels like hiring is a little easier.

- historically, recessions have been a great time to start big companies.

- there's still a LOT of capital waiting to be deployed into startups.

- "fundraises are looking like they did in 2020" is still pretty good, since 2020 was already a great year to be fundraising as a founder.

Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by forstmeier on Saturday June 25, 2022 @10:56AM (#31875801)
The focus on revenue is definitely a paradigm shift for the current environment. It's part of my hypothesis behind Automated Capital (http://automated.capital/).
Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by ghaff on Saturday June 25, 2022 @07:58AM (#31874493)
>anecdotally, it feels like hiring is a little easier.

On the one hand, some companies are trimming and many others are hiring much more selectively. On the other hand, there are a lot of people out there with comp expectations set by big tech large RSU inflation and bonus levels, much of which will likely come down to earth.

Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by hubraumhugo on Saturday June 25, 2022 @07:39AM (#31874401)
Thanks for the insights; this was exactly the sort of answer I was looking for! I sent you a DM on Twitter in case you're open to taking a closer look at my startup and fundraising plans.
Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by sbuccini on Saturday June 25, 2022 @12:59AM (#31872735)
Great to see you here! Thanks for sharing your insights.
Re:Ask HN: How to raise a seed round in a down market? by cynusx on Saturday June 25, 2022 @05:05AM (#31873662)
Is this US or EU advice?