A staged accident by foreign forces is the OP's wild assertion, I've made no such point.

I'm suggesting that a more banal circumstance, lack of maintenance, and then a true accident, is much more likely. My point is that the current political environment makes deflecting blame in this situation a possibility, not that you would stage an accident to intentionally take advantage of it.

How this is a harder idea to accept then "the russians are secretly blowing this up" is amazing to me, particularly on this forum.