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Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by sokoloff on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:34PM (#31683339)
Something is going to be the leading cause of casualties.

In peacetime, it doesn't seem outrageous that that would be on-base accidents (especially if that includes automobile accidents and injuries during training exercises).

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:45PM (#31683499)
> In peacetime

The US was in two wars for nearly 2 decades, to say nothing of various other special operations, and accidents were a leading cause of deaths and permanent disability for a large number of those years.

Readiness is important, but IMO, the Army does a ton of unnecessary and unnecessarily dangerous training for capabilities that are almost never needed (jumping, in particular, but also certain types of combat training). Most importantly, this destroys people's physical health for no reason. Secondarily, this also costs the taxpayer enormous sums of money (each permanent disability retirement for a 30 year old is many millions of dollars).

The other branches might be more reasonable. Not sure.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by nonameiguess on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:03PM (#31683793)
I found this comment a bit unfairly grayed out when I first saw it and want to add some nuance to this, as a person who left the Army due to physical disability caused by training rather than combat.

Training is the core of what we do, and extremely important no matter what. But, the nature of the training often doesn't match the real job. For instance, I remember at LDAC, a required ROTC summer course where you get evaluated and stack ranked prior to being given a job, there was a woman on a guaranteed nursing scholarship who was probably about 4'10", 80 pounds, and she tore both ACLs from all the marching with 90 pounds of gear. Forcing cadets that you know for certain are going into healthcare fields to train as infantry is no doubt harmful and unnecessary. At the time, women weren't even legally able to try becoming infantry, but still forced to do the training.

Personally, I served in a combat job, but even then, a lot of what we did felt more like hazing and dick measuring contests than skills-related. For instance, in a Cav unit, we were all required to do spur rides until passing, which involved activities like carrying telephone poles up and down hilly trails for 12 miles at 3 in the morning after not sleeping for 48 hours. I have no doubt doing stuff like that contributed to the spinal degeneration I eventually lost two years of my life to after leaving the services. Nonetheless, being a large, physical capable person who played and excelled at sports my entire life, I enjoyed that type of thing at the time. In retrospect, though, it sure looks wasteful and stupid. The repeated forced sleep deprivation is especially egregious, as it seems like the top contributor to all the accidents, and as far as I understood, training in a sleep deprived state doesn't actually improve your ability to deal with sleep deprivation in theater. At best, it helps to weed out and select who can and can't naturally deal with it, but it isn't really trainable.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:06PM (#31683846)
Thanks for chiming in; this is exactly the sort of stuff I'm referring to. I guess my comment did a poor job of making the point.
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by scelerat on Thursday June 09, 2022 @02:39PM (#31685139)
Whether a particular unit is itself necessary seems a question independent of whether its training is necessary.

At this point, the US military has determined that having paratroop units available is a useful capability in war. Arguing whether that tool is still useful is completely valid, and I would hope goes for anything: strategies, tactics, personnel, armaments, vehicles, equipment, etc.

However, once decided that a particular tool is necessary, it seems to me unquestionable that they should be kept in a ready, prepared, capable state. I suppose that too, can be debated, insofar as what constitutes "ready, prepared, capable," but if we've decided that our military needs people to jump out of planes, I would hope it goes without question that those people need to practice jumping out of planes.

shorter: training and necessity of a unit seem to be orthogonal concepts

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by sky-kedge0749 on Thursday June 09, 2022 @06:33PM (#31687826)
I agree with this and will add that the cost of the risk of having to pay to support a disabled veteran for life needs to be considered part of the whole deal. If you can't afford the servicemember, properly trained and properly insured, then don't "buy" them at all.
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @07:48PM (#31688398)
>> Arguing whether that tool is still useful is completely valid... I suppose that too, can be debated, insofar as what constitutes "ready, prepared, capable"

Okay. I argue such and debate such. Very clearly. In my original post. What is the point of this reply?

> If you can't afford the servicemember, properly trained and properly insured, then don't "buy" them at all.

Okay. Clearly yes. Now find me a servicemember who would rather have medical retirement over avoiding permanent disability. That's the main reason we should not be risking life and limb unnecessarily. You know, like I said. In my original post. What is the post of the reply?

This knee-jerk need to defend the Army on full display in this thread is, if we're honest, is the primary difference between the military and most of the civilian government: not superior administrative competence, but mostly just better PR.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by sky-kedge0749 on Thursday June 09, 2022 @08:32PM (#31688653)
When you say unnecessary training it's not clear to me whether you're making a general statement or talking about details.

For example if a servicemember volunteers for paratrooper school and gets badly hurt on a jump then I'm going to assume the training was necessary because that's what the school is for. The people at the school are experts and it's a waste of military resources to put a trained servicemember out of commission permanently and the school will be held responsible so everyone has a strong incentive to be careful. However it sounded sort of like you were saying a paratrooper unit doesn't need to practice jumping so much because they'll probably never need to do that.

On the other hand if you're saying that the military should more aggressively investigate safer training techniques where that can be done with no loss of quality then I'm all for that. Maybe some training can be done with VR simulations in a wind tunnel before you actually send people up in a plane, awesome.

Also I'm sure you support veteran care, I was just adding that if the military decides some unit is necessary, then they need to train that unit appropriately, and (here's my part) they need to bear the full cost of any potential injury. Given how badly veterans are sometimes treated I felt that should be said.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Friday June 10, 2022 @11:53AM (#31695858)
Re: jumping in particular, my point is more nuanced: that we train too many paratroopers and also there are too many dangerous jumps for which the readiness ROI isn't worth the additional injuries.

Those two are related and form a vicious cycle. The more people you injure, the the more you have train. The more jumps you require for minimal readiness, the more folks eventually refuse to re-up to even leave the Army as they watch their friends drop like flies to spinal injuries.

Jumps, and dangerous jumps in particular, are a huge point of contention in the Army because the Army likes to screw soldiers by claiming that spinal injuries from jumps aren't service-related.

Then there's a really long tail of physical fitness training that has more to do with macho signalling than actual readiness. Plenty of discussion down-thread.

There is nuance and trade-off, but there's a LOT of training in the military that does little or nothing for readiness and contributes massively to injury rates. I think the Army is so far to the "stupid" end of that spectrum that the nuanced conversation doesn't make much sense to me.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by Juliate on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:47PM (#31683527)
> Readiness is important, but IMO, the Army does a ton of unnecessary and unnecessarily dangerous training for capabilities that are almost never needed.

Readiness is precisely about training for things that will almost never happen. Until they do.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:48PM (#31683553)
That observation doesn't justify all risks. To reduce to absurdity, clearly we shouldn't train for war by running war games in which soldiers actually shoot and kill each other, even though there's a compelling argument that this would probably be a very good way to maximize readiness...

IMO, the number of jumps the Army does each year is far in excess of what is necessary for readiness.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by sokoloff on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:50PM (#31683577)
Do you have research or relevant expertise to back up that opinion? (It's fine if you don't; everyone is allowed to have opinions on any topic.)
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:56PM (#31683672)
No. I'm not sure how I would get that research, or if it's even possible. The problem with preparing for war is that war is fairly uncommon, and even when it happens, certain activities are rare enough with such a huge number of alternate causalities for failure that you might not have enough data for a useful natural experiment.

What I can say with some confidence is that there are perverse organizational incentives for some highly accident-prone training exercises. So, even if these exercises are required for readiness, that's not the (only) reason they're done in such high numbers.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by thrwy_meta on Monday June 13, 2022 @12:29AM (#31721127)
>>>I'm not sure how I would get that research, or if it's even possible.

Military Operations Research is a huge field. I like to use Google Scholar, which has many Masters Theses from military grad students, etc... Here's a few results to walk you "on target" if you want to continue to dig:

https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA545145.pdf

https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA618622.pdf

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=airb...

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by gowld on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:55PM (#31683651)
The most dangerous activity on a military base is... driving a car, same as everywhere else in the US.
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by david38 on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:54PM (#31683642)
Spoken like a true armchair quarterback.

You really think the military should forgo combat training?

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by tcmart14 on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:38PM (#31684280)
He has a point in some areas. Combat jumps for example. They are largely unnecessary and to be honest, may be a relic of the past. Warfare has gotten advanced enough where putting troops on the ground via a C130 and parachute may be obsolete in most instances. Now, small insertions of Special forces may not be, but large scale 101st airborne ones may be. But they tend to do a lot higher altitude jumps of a different kind.

It is like the Marine Corp who just disbanded their armored division and gave all the tanks to the Army. If an army can put a javelin in the hands of enough soldiers, are tanks really that effective anymore?

Now this isn't to say all combat training it useless, but some may be. Some of those things we are doing may be relics of the past and no longer necessary. We seem to train like the next world war is going be just like World War 2, but I imagine the next world war will look a whole lot different.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by mlyle on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:04PM (#31683808)
Outfitting people in poor-fitting gear and then having them do unnatural exercises asks for permanent injury; this is stuff the military seems to do a lot and a constant stream of partially disabled people come out.

I don't expect that number to ever go to 0, but I'd hope it could be smaller.

> You really think the military should forgo combat training?

This is not what anyone said. I'm in strong favor of more realistic training.

Of course, even this may be unnecessary for many. E.g., read the uncle comment's anecdote about ROTC.

> there was a woman on a guaranteed nursing scholarship who was probably about 4'10", 80 pounds, and she tore both ACLs from all the marching with 90 pounds of gear.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by s1artibartfast on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:45PM (#31684386)
>there was a woman on a guaranteed nursing scholarship who was probably about 4'10", 80 pounds, and she tore both ACLs from all the marching with 90 pounds of gear.

Whose idiocy was at fault here? I don't honestly think the military wanted people like this in the first place.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by mlyle on Thursday June 09, 2022 @02:35PM (#31685071)
Lol. Yah, wrecking skilled officer candidates -- especially nurses-- by giving them exercises that enlisted infantry struggle at when you have a massive nursing shortage in the military is awesome.

Meanwhile at the next door ROTC program it's all ridiculously soft and drill.

This all speaks to poor organizational controls.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:51PM (#31684476)
Ridiculously bad take. The military desperately wants good nurses. The military also wants people who will follow orders even when those orders may cause harm to one's self. The military doesn't have a particularly compelling need for all (or even the majority) of its nurses to carry large packs for long distances.
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by s1artibartfast on Thursday June 09, 2022 @02:10PM (#31684737)
To be fair it was a question.

Does that need outweigh outweigh the difficulty of individually tailored ROTC programs for one person? I don't know

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by olddustytrail on Thursday June 09, 2022 @01:59PM (#31684585)
It seems to be the instructors' fault. They are supposed to know what they're doing and should not be assigning excercises that someone is physically incapable of performing.

If they raised concerns and were overruled, then it's that person's fault also.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by mlyle on Thursday June 09, 2022 @03:32PM (#31685735)
It's only the instructors' fault to the extent that it's an unusual outcome. If it happens systematically, there's bigger issues.
Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by InefficientRed on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:58PM (#31683717)
Of course not combat training in general. A few specific and specifically injury-prone activities. Sorry for the poor wording.

FWIW, this isn't some crazy take. "Maybe the number and severity of injuries due to this activity is reducing readiness more than the resulting experience is increasing readiness" is a known trade-off.

Re:Why is American administrative capacity in decline? by gibolt on Thursday June 09, 2022 @12:42PM (#31683455)
Toilets kill ~40 people per year, obviously not all on military bases (I hope).

Mundane things are deadly, simply because we use them everyday.