Ask HN: Is the USA in a silent Covid wave?

Re:Ask HN: Is the USA in a silent Covid wave? by mpnex on Monday May 02, 2022 @01:12AM (#31231664)

I think it's a lot more localized. I read in the Violet Blue link posted elsewhere in thread that the "Bay Area was in a 5th wave" with "numbers higher than the Delta wave from summer 2021" and I couldn't reconcile that with the state-level numbers I had been seeing elsewhere... but then I drilled down into the county-level numbers and sure enough, for SF, Santa Clara, and Alameda, it's back up to August 2021 levels.

But if you look at the data for CA overall, you see a very different picture: yes, things are up, but they're at about 30% of last August. So the bay area trend gets lost in that.

Also, at-home tests are plentiful now, so I'm guessing that a large number of cases are not getting caught up in the reporting system.

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Re:Ask HN: Is the USA in a silent Covid wave? by hedora on Monday May 02, 2022 @03:31AM (#31232302)

Here are sewer monitoring graphs for Silicon Valley

https://covid19.sccgov.org/dashboard-wastewater

(These run about 6 days earlier than test results, and are not impacted by at-home tests.)

So, yes, it's similar to the August surge, but that one barely hit South Bay.

Anecdotally, our kids are in school, so we get all the respiratory diseases. There's a non-Covid cold going around south bay right now that's worse than Omicron (assuming you're fully vaccinated and boosted.)

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