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Re:Increased cardiovascular events in Israel during vaccine ... by usrn on Friday April 29, 2022 @09:14AM (#31204663)
You're not even guaranteed to get infected (I still haven't been.) So you need to apply that prior as well.
Re:Increased cardiovascular events in Israel during vaccine ... by nradov on Friday April 29, 2022 @07:02PM (#31211610)
The virus will be around forever so unless you live in a sterile bubble everyone will be occasionally exposed. So infection isn't 100% guaranteed, but it's close.

https://www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/vinay-prasad/94646

How do you know you haven't been infected? Asymptomatic cases are common, and most people aren't getting frequent tests.