News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on Finland and Sweden set to join NATO as soon as summer. Parent comment

Re:Finland and Sweden set to join NATO as soon as summer by dehrmann on Monday April 11, 2022 @12:28PM (#30991116)
Pre-invasion, I put the odds of invasion around 30% because one of Putin's gripes was Ukraine flirting with the West and NATO, and while invading would could cement its role as "borderlands," it would also convince Sweden and Finland to join, and quickly.

I also saw it as long-term detrimental to its role as an energy exporter because this would inspire Europe to quickly migrate to more renewables, though this take is more of a western perspective and probably wasn't a priority for Putin.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Finland and Sweden set to join NATO as soon as summer by Mordisquitos on Monday April 11, 2022 @12:38PM (#30991288)
Pre-invasion my own thoughts would have tended to agree with yours. I think that what caught us off guard was the mistaken assumption that Putin was actually well-informed enough to reach similar conclusions, rather than him sitting in a Potemkin ivory tower while being advised by pusillanimous yes men.
[ Parent | on HN ]