Re:Dall-E 2
by csomar on Wednesday April 06, 2022 @03:26PM
(#30936442)
For computer work, I think there will be two category: Work with localized complexity (ie: draw an image of a horse with a crayon) and work with unbounded complexity (adding a button to VAT accounting after several meetings and reading on accounting rules).
For the first category, Dall-E 2 and Codex are promising but not there yet. It's not clear how long it'll take them to reach the point where you no longer need people. I'm guessing 2-4 years but the last bits can be the hardest.
As for the second category, we are not there yet. Self-driving cars/planes, and lots of other automation will be here and mature way before an AI can read and communicate through emails, understand project scope and then execute. Also lots of harmonization will have to take place in the information we exchange: emails, docs, chats, code, etc... That is, unless the browser is able to open a navigator and type an address.
For the first category, Dall-E 2 and Codex are promising but not there yet. It's not clear how long it'll take them to reach the point where you no longer need people. I'm guessing 2-4 years but the last bits can be the hardest.
As for the second category, we are not there yet. Self-driving cars/planes, and lots of other automation will be here and mature way before an AI can read and communicate through emails, understand project scope and then execute. Also lots of harmonization will have to take place in the information we exchange: emails, docs, chats, code, etc... That is, unless the browser is able to open a navigator and type an address.