I have a ThinkPad with a Quadro 1000M from 2011. The last Nvidia driver is 390. It still works on Arch with latest kernel somehow. I doubt it has much support left as pre-2010 GPUs have been abandoned. So I wouldn't be surprised if you have a few years left + time spent on an LTS with older kernel. I recently switched to Guix and have been using Nouveau there and it's fine but I also don't need my laptop to do much beyond display windows and play the occasional video.