Re:Ask HN: What bits of fundamental knowledge are productivi...
by awestrom on Wednesday March 30, 2022 @08:16PM
(#30862412)
Has anyone tried to use these kinds of forecasting skills to improve software delivery estimates?
Software developers are notoriously terrible at estimation and lately I've been thinking that we should look to Superforecasters[1] for inspiration about how to improve.
Re:Ask HN: What bits of fundamental knowledge are productivi...
by rramadass on Thursday March 31, 2022 @07:48AM
(#30866141)
You might find How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business by Douglas Hubbard useful. - https://hubbardresearch.com/about/applied-information-econom...
I've also found a lot of useful discussion around these and similar skills on LessWrong, a site dedicated to the art of recognizing and correcting errors in reason and cognition. That site is full of 10x multipliers, particularly in their "Best Of" collection[3].
[1] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/
[2] https://manifold.markets/home
[3] https://www.lesswrong.com/bestoflesswrong