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Re:Waymo begins driverless rides in San Francisco by holoduke on Wednesday March 30, 2022 @01:30PM (#30858248)
No way. At least 50 years to get somewhere. But we need computing power 1000 times better and optics at least 16 times better. Before that it never can fix all scenarios
Re:Waymo begins driverless rides in San Francisco by gibolt on Wednesday March 30, 2022 @01:37PM (#30858348)
Here is a video of a customer vehicle driving on snow covered roads, now. It isn't perfect, but it is leagues better than a year ago. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDK3dRHxOzo He has tons of other drives in various weather/road conditions.

Improved software, and maybe one hardware refresh should be sufficient to get us all the way there for 99.99% of drives.

Re:Waymo begins driverless rides in San Francisco by shagie on Wednesday March 30, 2022 @02:08PM (#30858717)
It appears that if it doesn't know where the lanes are, it drives in the middle of the road. If someone turned onto the street from 0:35 to 0:42 there would have been a problem.

Aside: some really old drive assist tech for snow plows on I-80 Donner pass - https://path.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/advanced_snowp... /// https://highways.dot.gov/public-roads/janfeb-2001/safe-plowi...

I'm still waiting to see how an AI would handle Figure 5-1 from that. And no, the snow plow's solution of burying magnets in the road isn't practical (Cost of infrastructure installation for the test sites is approximately $11,000 per kilometer ($17,000 per mile), including surveying, installation, and magnets).

Re:Waymo begins driverless rides in San Francisco by _carbyau_ on Wednesday March 30, 2022 @09:26PM (#30862859)
99.99% ? How does that statement work? I feel it needs more clarification.

99.99% means 1 in 10,000 "drives" has an accident of some sort? So 100 accidents per million people/drives?

Not sure how to compare if that is better or worse than what we have now.