I will believe self-driving car is near once I see truck drivers automated. If truck-driving cannot be profitable (with the advantage of no breaks, unlike humans, and a semi-fixed route) how could a personal vehicle or taxi be profitable? It seems it could be one of the first places to optimize. Trucks are so expensive, so they could be early adopters.

I still think your prediction is too optimist. IMO (I admit, based on gut feeling) either we won't have it or the goals will have changed and it will only work in special roads (almost like rails for trains). See you in 10 years (if hn still exists!)