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Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by i_like_waiting on Friday March 18, 2022 @09:28PM (#30729957)
Thats because nobody refutes those points. Yes, transactions in crypto are irreversible. It might be bad for those number of factors.

But even given those cons we see benefits in things mentioned above. E.g. my colleague can send bitcoin to his brother in russia. Tell me what other options to transfer value there are at the moment between west and russia. Very similar for ukraine.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by thr0wawayf00 on Friday March 18, 2022 @09:44PM (#30730073)
> Banks won’t protect you from wire fraud either.

This is half-true. A wire transfer can't be reversed due to end-user error, which can be abused by fraudsters. However, Incorrect input on the bank's behalf does warrant a reversal.

I'd compare my bank screwing up vs a crypto exchange screwing up (Like getting hacked). I'm still not protected if the exchange gets hacked and my coin is exfiltrated. I am protected if my bank fatfingers a wire transfer.

Also, banks are insured by the FDIC against financial catastrophes. Savings accounts held in FDIC-regulated banks are insured up to $250k if the bank fails for some reason. I get no such protection holding crypto with an exchange. The FDIC turns around an audits banks to make sure they're compliant with liquidity requirements, loan quality measures, etc. Nobody in crypto is watching anyone else in crypto to make sure everything is kosher because that is fundamentally impossible in a system that is meant to be decentralized.

Scammers are everywhere and not nearly enough is being done to address it. It's not even clear whether it's possible or not to even address crypto scams.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Friday March 18, 2022 @11:47PM (#30730785)
You’re right about FDIC protection. The wire fraud example is really the least important part of my comment (it was just showing risk exists with some traditional financial transactions too).

Exchange risk is tempered somewhat by Coinbase which is more comparable to a standard bank in terms of risk (imo).

The true value and capability that’s distinct with crypto is self-custody and that is the important part of my comment.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by thr0wawayf00 on Saturday March 19, 2022 @08:14AM (#30733157)
> Exchange risk is tempered somewhat by Coinbase which is more comparable to a standard bank in terms of risk (imo).

The fine print does not bear this out at all. Coinbase states in their TOS that your funds may not replaced in the case of a breach because they do not insure the entirety of accounts, nor do they stipulate a guaranteed insured amount:[0]

> In case of a covered security event, we will endeavor to make you whole. However, total losses may exceed insurance recoveries so your funds may still be lost.

Comparing the risk profile of Coinbase to a bank is no different than blindly trusting a big bank not to fail. These are not analogous institutions from a risk management standpoint.

0: https://help.coinbase.com/en/coinbase/other-topics/legal-pol...

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Saturday March 19, 2022 @11:15AM (#30734420)
FDIC insurance is capped at 250k. The recovery there is also limited and it’s a bad idea to keep large amounts of money in a bank account.

> “Comparing the risk profile of Coinbase to a bank is no different than blindly trusting a big bank not to fail.”

That’s kind of my point? They share a similar risk.

The most interesting thing with crypto is the new capabilities it enables for self custody of wealth.

There’s also the non-government controlled supply and global store of value which are interesting too, but easier self-custody is the prerequisite differentiator imo. It’s also one of its core advantages over gold (the others being easier to transact with, easier to move/store which is related).

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by thr0wawayf00 on Saturday March 19, 2022 @03:29PM (#30736856)
But your individual losses are covered when a bank fails, you're not protected when an exchange fails. They're just gonna try their hardest to make you whole. Look at that worked out at Mt Gox.

> The most interesting thing with crypto is the new capabilities it enables for self custody of wealth.

Serious question: what are the new capabilities that this opens up? These tokens are really unstable which makes them poor candidates to use as actual currency, research shows that decentralized networks are no less susceptible to market manipulation than traditional financial markets and there's an unbelievable amount of fraud everywhere in this space.

The whole reason the Federal Reserve was created was to weed out endemic fraudulent activity around the country during the era of "Wildcat Banking"[0], when banks were essentially creating their own currencies. Crypto is largely the digital reincarnation of this philosophy, and isn't really doing anything about shitcoins and other scams. Now, we're starting to see the legitimization of shitcoins through sports team fan tokens that provide no tangible value beyond the purely speculative "hodl" mentality.

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wildcat_banking

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by hypertele-Xii on Friday March 18, 2022 @10:22PM (#30730303)
Is it really your selling point that crypto is good because Russians can wage war while circumventing sanctions? The whole point of sanctions is to pressure bad actors to change. You've invented a technology that allows them to continue doing evil? Hurrah?
Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by oceanplexian on Saturday March 19, 2022 @01:37AM (#30731411)
> The whole point of sanctions is to pressure bad actors to change.

This argument seems completely non-sensical to me.

Western governments have been arguing for 3+ decades that we do business with countries like China because integrating them into the global economic system will encourage them to change. But now we're making the same argument that we need to expel Russia from the global economic system because it will encourage them to change. What? At least crypto doesn't flip-flop on what it's moral or ethical purpose is. It's just a tool and an exchange of value, not a weapon.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by danaris on Saturday March 19, 2022 @09:58AM (#30733743)
They're the same argument.

The sanctions mean nothing if you haven't already integrated the countries into the global economic system, because they won't be losing anything.

I'll grant the implementation leaves a lot to be desired, but the principle is quite sound.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by yanderekko on Friday March 18, 2022 @11:40PM (#30730752)
>Is it really your selling point that crypto is good because Russians can wage war while circumventing sanctions?

No, this is a person sending money to their brother, who is presumably not engaged in "waging war."

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by Tretiotrr on Saturday March 19, 2022 @04:07AM (#30732083)
The timing for such a bad argument is bad and it is still shitty.

Crypto bros telling us how great it is for the poor people in such countries to get money. Now we see the downside of this as well. Oligarchs protecting their assets as well.

Leveled playfield.

No added benefit from crypto anymore.

And yes right now for me, sanctioning is more critical to me to increase the pressure on Russia to stop killing people than Russian people being able to use crypto.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by yanderekko on Saturday March 19, 2022 @10:19AM (#30733901)
Well, one can easily disagree with the justice of these sorts of indiscriminate collective punishments. At the end of the day you're going to have a hard time justifying to someone why they should feel morally compelled to cut off remittances to their family members because of these sort of high-level geopolitical concerns.

The more that financial repression and "cancellations" become mainstream, the more obvious crypto's use cases become - whether or not you support the individual examples of repression.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by Tretiotrr on Saturday March 19, 2022 @03:40PM (#30736924)
I'm not sure what you mean?

How much is a human life worth to you? How much are we all responsible for everything and nothing?

Collective punishment? It's just that there are limitations on tools global politics can use.

Independently of this perhaps my expectations on fellow humans are different than yours.

And at the end of the day crypto can be blocked and will be blocked sooner than later. every event like this which circumvent global mechanism will be worked against

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Saturday March 19, 2022 @01:41AM (#30731426)
If the "benefit" is that crypto-currencies allow people to evade laws, well... that's probably true, it's just not a great selling point if you're aiming for mainstream adoption. Especially considering that, for everything else other than evading the law, a standard currency would be more practical than a crypto-currency. And this addressed in the article, it's one of the predictions: "cryptocurrency adoption will be limited to marginal use cases where fiat currency is impractical, e.g. online black-market transactions".
Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Saturday March 19, 2022 @11:48AM (#30734734)
Retaining more individual capability does allow people to commit crimes (though in the public ledger case this is often a stupid idea if you stay in the jurisdiction where what you’re doing is a crime).

Not all governments are good, not all laws are just. It’s easy to roll eyes at this in the west, but a lot of countries in the world are lead by bad people acting in their own self-interest.

The other bit you get from Bitcoin at least is programmatic guarantees of supply. This protects you from increases in supply inflating your savings away. It makes it a better store of value than fiat.

A standard currency is not always available. The same is true for safe financial systems. This is more relevant for people trying to save in places like Venezuela. Crypto provides new capabilities that may be your best option.

If one potential future is authoritarian governments leveraging total control on their citizens financial transactions via centralized financial systems (what the ccp is trying to build) - crypto is a technology that provides a relief valve from that. It’s a good thing it exists imo.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Sunday March 20, 2022 @05:57AM (#30741410)
Okay, just don't call it the future of money. A form of money that is worse at everything except clandestine transactions is not the future of money. Regarding the supposed guarantees of limited supply, this is both irrelevant and factually wrong. The issuer of a currency (e.g. a central bank, or the "bitcoin protocol" in the case of bitcoin) does not control the supply of the currency. This is because fractional reserve banking results in new money being created when banks lend, a process that inflates (or deflates, when the demand for loans falls) the money supply. Moreover, the users of a currency don't care about the supply of that currency, because that's not an observable quantity. What matters, instead, is price stability. And to maintain price stability you need a competent authority in charge of managing the money supply, which is antithetical to the very idea of decentralised currency.
Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Sunday March 20, 2022 @11:01AM (#30743165)
I didn’t call it the future of money.

Limited supply is not irrelevant or “factually wrong” for a long term store of value (like gold) which is more the role BTC plays specifically.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Sunday March 20, 2022 @03:17PM (#30745668)
Gold isn't particularly attractive as a store of value. Historically it's lost value over long periods (see [1]). And bitcoin is likely to do worse than gold, because it's a purely virtual asset that relies entirely on a particular technology, and therefore is liable to become obsolescent eventually.

[1] https://static.wixstatic.com/media/e17377_2a348fd21fc543f9a0...

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Sunday March 20, 2022 @03:58PM (#30746046)
I’m assuming good faith, but I feel like you’re intentionally ignoring and redirecting away to prove some existing conclusion.

We’re talking about advantages and capabilities - specifically granted by crypto of which self-custody is a prerequisite (yes technically true of stock, but not indexes and not as comparable). Within that context it has advantages over other options and more capabilities.

I’m not pretending it’s better at everything or it should be 100% of your holdings or anything like that, but it is better at some things and the new capabilities it provides are interesting and valuable.

That chart is a limited slice of time. The nice thing about economic bets is it doesn’t really matter what you (or I) think, the market will play it out. I suspect you’re probably wrong, but we’ll see.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Sunday March 20, 2022 @05:49PM (#30747024)
A "limited slice of time" comprising of the last 200 years. It provides pretty damning evidence against gold (and by extension against virtual commodities that are purported to be gold-like).
Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Sunday March 20, 2022 @09:26PM (#30748963)
200yrs is nothing (and fiat was backed by gold as recently as 50yrs ago).

Focusing on this despite the rest of what I wrote is still kind of missing my point.

There’s not really much point in further discussion, there’s not much more to say. We just don’t agree.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Monday March 21, 2022 @03:45AM (#30751350)
200 years is a lot. To put it in perspective, the Industrial Revolution started 250 years ago in England.

But feel free to disagree, of course. The evidence doesn't care if you don't agree with it. It's still there, for everyone to see.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by fossuser on Monday March 21, 2022 @03:23PM (#30758545)
Took me a bit to realize you are the same account from the last thread (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30630271)

You have a clear motivated reasoning bias (crypto = bad and useless) paired without understanding the basics of how crypto works.

You don’t have conversations with people, you just ignore details that disagree with your pre-existing conclusion and focus on digressions you think prove your point (typically against a strawman argument I’m not making).

Your submissions betray this bias too. Crypto (and conversation) is more interesting when considering the nuanced bits even if it may disagree with “your side”.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PeSzc9JTBxhaYRp9b/policy-deb...

You’re right about one thing though, the evidence is there for people to see.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by lottin on Monday March 21, 2022 @05:17PM (#30759803)
Why don't you address the arguments themselves, instead of attempting to discredit them by attacking the person who made them?

That isn't exactly arguing in good faith, to use your own words.

Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by cycrutchfield on Friday March 18, 2022 @09:32PM (#30729985)
Circumventing sanctions is a _killer_ use case
Re:Crypto is an unproductive bubble by i_like_waiting on Friday March 18, 2022 @09:57PM (#30730152)
There are tons of cases when it's morally ethical and positive thing to do. Goverments have option to do just blanket ban, but not consider individual cases.

E.g. you want to support independent reporters in Russia. What can you do? Support your family? Maybe even foreign students there?