Re:Ivermectin Didn’t Reduce Covid-19 Hospitalizations in Lar...
by pjkundert on Friday March 18, 2022 @11:15AM
(#30723340)
There are those who claim that you can accurately predict project timelines from the top down -- high-quality estimates, so to speak.
However, this doesn't work. Talk to anyone in software for any significant duration.
You make accurate high-level estimates, using a multitude of small, low-quality estimates.
I trust many independent peer-reviewed studies (102) plus a large number of other studies (another 49), whose outcomes are consistent with all other studies (efficacy declines linearly from 0-7 days after onset). I do not trust a single, large study focussed after the efficacy window has expired.
The big question is -- why would you trust such a study, if you surveyed and understood the efficacy decline consistent with all other studies?
However, this doesn't work. Talk to anyone in software for any significant duration.
You make accurate high-level estimates, using a multitude of small, low-quality estimates.
I trust many independent peer-reviewed studies (102) plus a large number of other studies (another 49), whose outcomes are consistent with all other studies (efficacy declines linearly from 0-7 days after onset). I do not trust a single, large study focussed after the efficacy window has expired.
The big question is -- why would you trust such a study, if you surveyed and understood the efficacy decline consistent with all other studies?