I also share this, but I find it increasingly concerning. If Putin has reached the point where a very risky war has to be waged against Ukraine, it means that he had worse options than the war. What options would be that?

A coup in process in Russia? Some military / oligarchic faction which already has reached the upper echelons of powers in Russia and they are forcing Putin's hand?

What internal restrains could Putin still retain, for how much time?

Is an escalation of hostilities in the cards? Has this already started and the whole Ukraine operations are just a maskirovka? (this last one is commonly mentioned everywhere these days, it seems everyone suspect the russians are not actually that weak and powerless to win a war, and they are just waiting for to deploy the full war machine against the actual targets).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_military_deception

Kind of tense wait till this ends ..or it actually start to unfold.

I'm not sure they are "weak and powerless" but it's almost certain they won't deploy their full capabilities until they work out what NATO is going to do. From NATO's point of view it's probably better to let the Russians become weaker through attrition before doing anything anyway, which truly sucks if you are Ukrainian.

If the news about things like the F35 being only half operational are true, NATO might not be the overwhelming force we assume it is either. Australia is having a lot of trouble making them operational: https://theconversation.com/australia-spent-billions-on-jet-...