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A comment on Is the Russian Air Force incapable of complex air operations?. Parent comment

Re:Is the Russian Air Force incapable of complex air operati... by Sebb767 on Friday March 04, 2022 @07:34PM (#30562557)
Both sanction-wise and publicity-wise an ongoing war is a catastrophe for Russia. Also, they invaded from three (!) sides and Kyiv is just about 100km from the border.

There's obviously some propaganda and a thick fog of war going on, but I think we can quite reasonably conclude that this is going far worse for Russia than anyone expected, including Russia.

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Re:Is the Russian Air Force incapable of complex air operati... by chillacy on Friday March 04, 2022 @08:26PM (#30563027)
This was supposed to be a layup for Russia (90% success) and it's looking like a coin flip (50%).

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9939/kyiv-to-fall-to-rus...

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Re:Is the Russian Air Force incapable of complex air operati... by epolanski on Friday March 04, 2022 @10:15PM (#30563840)
They made serious gains in 9 days and are encircling 3 of the 4 biggest cities.

It doesn't seem to be going that bad as some would make you believe.

In comparison, took poland a month to fall from germany and ussr combined with much larger armies on both sides.

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