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Re:A 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet by smcl on Friday March 04, 2022 @04:17PM (#30560708)
> If these things were genuinely having trouble, we'd know.

Hm, I see videos of pretty terrible FSD fails all the time - stuff like the car veering off into the other lane, trying to drive the pillars of bridges, failing to spot pedestrians and other fun things. It's quite impressive that the system is nearly there, but that I suspect this is the famous final 20% which is gonna be a monumental challenge to overcome

Re:A 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet by JacobThreeThree on Friday March 04, 2022 @04:48PM (#30561057)
>It's quite impressive that the system is nearly there, but that I suspect this is the famous final 20% which is gonna be a monumental challenge to overcome

The self-driving AI marketers will tell you it's 99% of the way there!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-08-17/waymo-s-s...

I'm definitely in the Atwood boat.

Re:A 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet by gitfan86 on Friday March 04, 2022 @05:12PM (#30561303)
It will never be 100% correct. But that has never been the goal. The goal is to be 10x safer than humans. I don't know exactly when it hits that level, but at this point there doesn't appear to be any reason it cannot get there eventually.
Re:A 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet by smcl on Saturday March 05, 2022 @07:07AM (#30566791)
Oh eventually, yeah maybe? But reaching that in the next eight years seems a bit unsurmountable
Re:A 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet by a9h74j on Friday March 04, 2022 @04:30PM (#30560852)
Title of new policy paper: Driving in the uncanny valley