Re:Nuclear war probabilities are useless - counter to the nu...
by geoka9 on Thursday March 03, 2022 @04:57PM
(#30547586)
> If Latvia is attacked and the NATO doesn’t fight for them NATO stops being a thing immediately.
That's what he might be betting on. To be fair, a series of decisions[0] by the West over the last decades might have led him to believe the West may not have the stomach for war with Russia, especially when it comes to defending new NATO members.
[0]
- Invasion of Georgia in 2008: no meaningful response to Russia
- Obama's "red lines" in Syria
- Annexation of Crimea in 2014: no meaningful response to Russia
- Invasion of Eastern Ukraine in 2014: ditto
- Invasion of the rest of Ukraine (under way): response limited to sanctions for Russia and supplies for the Ukrainians
That's what he might be betting on. To be fair, a series of decisions[0] by the West over the last decades might have led him to believe the West may not have the stomach for war with Russia, especially when it comes to defending new NATO members.
[0]
- Invasion of Georgia in 2008: no meaningful response to Russia
- Obama's "red lines" in Syria
- Annexation of Crimea in 2014: no meaningful response to Russia
- Invasion of Eastern Ukraine in 2014: ditto
- Invasion of the rest of Ukraine (under way): response limited to sanctions for Russia and supplies for the Ukrainians