Predict? People were still denying this when it was obvious that Russian troops were in staging areas ready to invade.

This was a case of people burying their heads in sand and ignoring the grim reality staring at them.

I just got my first down voted comment by mentioning Alex Jones name (who predicted Ukraine major war in October). It is a fact, it is also a fact that every other rational analyst was wrong. But their analysis was sound - invasion of Ukraine is madness and a historic mistake for Russia. It's not about predicting things - it's about making sure that a single crazy person cannot end everyone's life going forward.

Don't see any reason for apologies for the rational analysis. Back to technology - this thing is turning into Twitter nonsense.