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Re:Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Feb 26, 2022 by rossdavidh on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:00PM (#30484570)
As best I can tell, Putin thought that Ukraine was about to be admitted to NATO, and didn't want NATO troops on his borders in both the Baltic states and Ukraine, so he invaded to preempt this. It seems to me that the threat of invasion would have worked as well as actually invading, at making NATO uneasy about admitting Ukraine, and would have involved far fewer downsides for Russia.

I have long thought Putin to be a mean but smart individual, but even if Russia eventually accomplishes the conquest of Ukraine, this looks like a blunder on his part, not only a moral error (although certainly also that).

Re:Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Feb 26, 2022 by volkl48 on Saturday February 26, 2022 @10:57PM (#30485272)
NATO can't admit anyone with a territorial dispute. Short of Ukraine officially ceding Crimea and the other occupied areas, Ukraine would never be able to be admitted to NATO in it's post-2014 status.
Re:Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Feb 26, 2022 by SubiculumCode on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:32PM (#30484766)
Putin and everybody knew that Ukraine was never going to be included into NATO. Putin is using this as cover for imperialistic narcissistic brain rot.