Re:Twitter restricted in Russia amid conflict with Ukraine
by jacquesm on Saturday February 26, 2022 @11:05AM
(#30478682)
It all depends on what Putin told his cronies. If the story was that they would be welcomed with open arms and instead they're welcomed with live ammo, functional AA and anti-tank weapons then that is a serious setback already, if the story was that it would be over by Friday night because they'd have control of aiports, media and the capital then clearly they have failed.
Putin's credibility is what is at stake here, not the absolute speed of the invasion. The double crossing at the negotiation table last week had only a few hours of shelf life, that gave them an advantage but that has already been eroded. The supply lines are quite long and the roads leading South are littered with abandoned columns of Russian vehicles. Already Chechen troops have been put into play.
My guess is that even though in an absolute sense this is developing very fast that on a relative scale it failed on several key objectives and that those failures are starting to add up.
Putin's credibility is what is at stake here, not the absolute speed of the invasion. The double crossing at the negotiation table last week had only a few hours of shelf life, that gave them an advantage but that has already been eroded. The supply lines are quite long and the roads leading South are littered with abandoned columns of Russian vehicles. Already Chechen troops have been put into play.
My guess is that even though in an absolute sense this is developing very fast that on a relative scale it failed on several key objectives and that those failures are starting to add up.