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Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by hnarn on Friday February 25, 2022 @02:47PM (#30471478)
The logic is that attacking a country that attempts to join a defensive alliance (Ukraine) underlines the undeniable necessity of that alliance existing in the first place. There would not be a point in joining Nato if Russia was a paper tiger, but they're working very hard to prove that they are not. They are painting a picture of themselves as violent, unpredictable and hostile to democratic values that we (Swedes) value highly.

By your logic, if Russia ever did invade Sweden, the "logical" thing to do would be to lay down arms immediately: after all, we all want to live a "peaceful life", right? Presumably the same would go for Russia making demands on the size of Sweden's military budget.

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by pakitan on Friday February 25, 2022 @03:08PM (#30471753)
> defensive alliance

Yeah, right. Remind me please who was NATO defending against during the military operation in Libya? Iraq?

Regarding the rest of your arguments, whether you want to support joining NATO is your own business. I'm just looking at it from a game theory perspective. As far as I remember, so far there haven't been threats from Russia against Sweden. Now you want to join and there is a threat. You may be indignant and think other countries have no right to choose for you but the reality may be different, as the Ukrainans are finding out. Now they will have to forget about joining NATO AND will get occupied, when they could have just admitted that they can't beat Russia and agreed to not join NATO.

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by whatshisface on Friday February 25, 2022 @03:40PM (#30472111)
>Remind me please who was NATO defending against during the military operation in Libya? Iraq?

It would be easier to explain why NATO invaded Iraq if it actually had. :-) The Coalition invaded Iraq.

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by dragonwriter on Friday February 25, 2022 @04:25PM (#30472558)
> It would be easier to explain why NATO invaded Iraq if it actually had.

NATO, as such (not just NATO members operating outside of the alliance) conducted a couple different (all non-combat, training and capacity development) military missions in Iraq. IIRC one from 2004-2011ish and one starting around 2018, maybe something in between.

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by iostream24 on Friday February 25, 2022 @06:09PM (#30473496)
The reality is that swift decisive action in a coordinated fashion is the only way to stop an aggressor that suggest that everyone else needs to also lie down and shut up or they will get a thrashing too. Game theory says “on three JUMP HIM!”

Multiple entities need to act with force in non economic ways that render collective bullying impossible.

Game theory says “gang up now instead of letting your strongest get picked off first and your collective force diminished “

The old “first they came for the xyz but I wasn’t an xyz so I didn’t say anything “ story.

Or surely Ukraine will not be the last victim.

Putin has apparently and obviously thrown all caution and concern for domestic approval etc to the wind. What is his rush? He’s moving quickly. Best to act now.

Nuclear war is a multifaceted weapon, hence the ‘M’ in MAD

it’s not automatic or known what the trigger threshold is for this, and engagement has indeed occurred between nuclear powers is recent times…

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by pakitan on Saturday February 26, 2022 @04:08AM (#30476248)
> Game theory says “on three JUMP HIM!”

Yes, sure. But what you're betting on here is that when Sweden says "on three JUMP HIM!", the rest will follow. And when you have multiple countries now refusing to take Russia out of SWIFT, which is a relatively benign measure, compared to an all-out war, how confident are you that they will come in your defense in case of an actual war against a nuclear power?

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by iostream24 on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:28AM (#30477797)
> And when you have multiple countries now refusing to take Russia out of SWIFT

Not anymore. It takes a little bit to organize independently run republics, but once things get rolling…

Also, there was this 1994 accord called the Budapest Memorandum…

Mr P bit off more than he can chew, this time.

There will be more NATO…

Just when we thought it was all getting rather irrelevant and dated…

Nothing like a “master strategist “ to galvanize the entire world against him suddenly when he had a substantial reserve of social capital in the leadup to this…

Re:Finland or Sweden joining NATO would spark Russian respon... by iostream24 on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:50AM (#30477976)
Also

> > Game theory says “on three JUMP HIM!” > Yes, sure. But what you're betting on here is that when Sweden says "on three JUMP HIM!", the rest will follow

Which is precisely what NATO provides