Re:Misidentifying talent
by ren_engineer on Tuesday February 22, 2022 @09:36AM
(#30428381)
happening in American Football as well with more aggressive play calling on 4th down and in the red zone due to analytics. There are also teams using tools to calculate "game speed" vs traditional testing to help scouting be more accurate
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Re:Misidentifying talent
by tanjtanjtanj on Tuesday February 22, 2022 @11:27AM
(#30429837)
What's crazy to me is that the more modern 4th down play-calling statistics has been known for at least two decades now; I first heard about it from my stats teacher in high school.
The issue is that making the right call and it not working out would reflect more poorly on a coach than making the more traditional call and playing worse. It reminds me of the saying "No one ever got fired for buying IBM".
Young Sheldon in 2017: "Statistically always punting on 4th down makes no sense."
Five Thirty Eight has written a bit about this in the past. That's pretty much what they said. No one remembers the risky play that paid off or the safe/expected play; they remember the risky play that didn't pay off.