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Re:Study finds Western megadrought is the worst in 1,200 years by chrisco255 on Monday February 14, 2022 @01:37PM (#30336130)
No, they've overshot dramatically.

The only model coming close to being accurate was the INM-CM4 model, which predicted a mild 0.1C increase per decade.

All of these models have done a poor job of predicting cloud cover albedo and sensitivity. There is no good model for predicting cloud cover over decades of time and it turns out it's one of the most critical factors in the climate system.

Anyways, to read more about these issues, see:

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.102...

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