Re:Study finds Western megadrought is the worst in 1,200 years
by cosheaf on Monday February 14, 2022 @01:32PM
(#30336029)
The science is not saying anything like that. I am the one saying things will be worse because the models have consistently underestimated second order greenhouse effects like ocean acidification and the collapse of the transatlantic currents and general slowdown of other ocean currents along with their effects on global weather patterns.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Study finds Western megadrought is the worst in 1,200 years
by chrisco255 on Monday February 14, 2022 @01:43PM
(#30336244)
And yet they haven't. The past two decades haven't been indicative of runaway warming with feedback loops, but just a paltry 0.1C/decade trend.
If what you say is true, you should be able to pull up a model published in 2002 or 2012 and analyze its predictions from the observations.
That's science. A model is only as good as its performance against reality, and the truth is, 98+% of the models in the IPCC analysis from one and two decades ago overshot in their predictions.