Granting a decade long delay in diagnosis of all heterosexual HIV+ cases vs instantaneous diagnosis of homosexual men, the disparity still doesn't explain much - unless there is orders of magnitude shifts in the infection rates among heterosexual people over that time period.

> unless there is orders of magnitude shifts in the infection rates among heterosexual people over that time period.

There are two forces at play: decreasing infection rates among gay men, and increasing infection rates among straight men. Both aspects of the curve are "doing work" to change the statistics.

But yes, there are significant shifts that explain these changes: increases in IV drug use, a decline in condom use among straight sex partners due to readily available alternative prophylactics, and an overall increased emphasis on testing the entire population for HIV/AIDS.

> There are two forces at play: decreasing infection rates among gay men, and increasing infection rates among straight men. Both aspects of the curve are "doing work" to change the statistics.

You may have missed the point — only one of those is modulated by (relative) delay in heterosexual diagnoses post-infection.