Re:Have we been thinking about inflation all wrong?
by usefulcat on Thursday February 10, 2022 @02:26PM
(#30291177)
Why would you not expect stocks to increase with inflation? Most of the time, stocks have far outpaced inflation for several decades now.
Re:Have we been thinking about inflation all wrong?
by efdee on Friday February 11, 2022 @02:48PM
(#30306176)
If they increase, it's despite of inflation - not with inflation.
Simplified example: the value of most stock companies depends on their projected gains in the next few years. A projected gain of $X in 5 years will devaluate over time as inflation increases, simply because $X in 5 years time will be worth considerably less than $X today. As inflation rises above a healthy 2-3%, it hurts the actual gains and thus the connected stock. You can counter such things by keeping interests low (as they've been doing for a while now) but that party has to end someday.
Re:Have we been thinking about inflation all wrong?
by TacticalCoder on Thursday February 10, 2022 @03:20PM
(#30291895)
> ... in some countries (eg. Belgium) wages are automatically adapted to inflation
Only certain wages. Like public servant wages. Private companies paying normal people regular wages aren't forced to give them a raise. The minimal wage may inflate but if you're paid above minimal wage, there's no guarantee you'll see a raise.
Re:Have we been thinking about inflation all wrong?
by efdee on Friday February 11, 2022 @02:44PM
(#30306119)
No, not just minimal wage - that's my point. Almost all companies (that are big enough to have a union, or be part of a joint committee) are forced to give raises.
Re:Have we been thinking about inflation all wrong?
by imtringued on Thursday February 10, 2022 @06:56PM
(#30294662)
Inflation is actually terrible for stocks because inflation has to be earned via revenue which only applies to quality stocks. It's not the same as a bull market where everything goes up.
Interesting to know: in some countries (eg. Belgium) wages are automatically adapted to inflation, so "the poor" aren't hurt at all.