More-permissive-than-AGPLv3 for service-based software creates a potential (or, I'd argue, likely) route towards large-platform capture and resale of the value of those services without upstream contribution in return, followed at a later date by the turning-down and closure of the software products and communities behind them.

That's the strategy that the platforms have, I think - for rational (albeit potentially immoral) economic and competitive reasons. I'd like to hear if you disbelieve that and/or have other reasons to think that permissive licensing is superior long-term.