Re:Why Henry III's gold penny failed
by AnimalMuppet on Monday January 31, 2022 @05:28PM
(#30155593)
I'm fairly sure that the fixed exchange rate didn't cause the problems. But I think the interest rate craziness shows that the fixed exchange rate sure didn't help. It took away a knob that they really could have used right then. Since they didn't have it, they had to go insane with the interest rate to try to defend the currency at the fixed price. That didn't make it easier to handle the rest of the crisis.
Actually, the maybe-relevant part of this is that Thailand kicked it off by screwing up currency-pegging and having to switch to float, which led to a panic. But Hong Kong didn't suffer particularly hard from it, overall, compared to those worst-affected, so using HK in late 1997 as the example of this practice failing still isn't very strong.
(I can't find any mention of the Mexico thing on the Wiki article, but have a weirdly-strong memory of that specific detail being mentioned in an IPE class years and years ago, so either I'm wrong or it's one of those things that's considered a kind of folk-knowledge poli-sci and economics but doesn't make it to places like Wikipedia, some action that "wasn't" directly connected, but [by common understanding of folks in those fields] totally was—further digging reveals an Argentine event in 1998 that did affect Mexico, so I'm guessing that's what I'm recalling and that at the very least that particular professor considered it obviously true that the two events were connected, so presented that as a continuation of the Asian Crisis in late '97)
[EDIT] To be clear I'm not even going hard into the paint for pegging currencies, I just think that's a bad example and that lots of readers may not recall or be aware of the late 90s crises to have context for it, especially fellow US readers.