This is a very optimistic view. There are 56 nuclear power plants in the US alone. It is entirely believable that one or more of them will be shut down and then outright abandoned at some point in the next few hundred years, leaving nuclear waste with no long term containment story. Over the course of history, abandonment of once-important areas has been pretty common. I see no reason to believe it cannot happen to a nuclear plant.
I can easily imagine a plant being turned off and a future government deciding that it’s just not worth dealing with a proper decommissioning, so they just walk away. It’s easy to imagine this because it’s exactly the same stance you are proposing. “It’s good enough for now, someone else can deal with it later when magic (technical advancements) shows up.”
I’m also quite concerned about what happens if one of these “just store it on site” facilities gets bombed at some point.
> I've heard a complaint that this is passing the buck, like we did with climate, but I think that's only true if we assume no technological advancements.
Of course you’ve heard that complaint, because it is passing the buck. Betting on future technological advancements without actually investing in those technological advancements is 100% passing the buck.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goi%C3%A2nia_accident
Of course, that wasn't waste.