Re:Taiwan is not Ukraine: Stop linking their fates
by alfalfasprout on Thursday January 27, 2022 @06:46PM
(#30108721)
Those are fairly different though. With Taiwan Ukraine-- the involvement would be clear: Country A invades Country B. US intervenes to fight away country A. Losing here would be a HUGE crediblity blow.
It's very different from "nation building" (which has been proven time and time again to be a waste of time, money, and lives). Losing here is more of a factor of fighting ideologies vs. a distinct adversary.
In terms of training and military hardware the US is pretty much unrivaled even by China. But that knowledge suddenly becomes less relevant if it becomes clear we won't use it when it matters.
Not exactly, but close - ex: Vietnam, Iraq, etc.
Both Russian and China know this, helps explain the "show of force"- show me your arsenal, so I can analyze your strength and probability of winning