I was focusing on the "surprise startup" scenario where it would all get wiped and reset.
If it blindly reads the pid and sends a kill signal, your odds are pretty good with a limit of 32K pids on a busy system. If it confirms that the process name matches an expected value, you have less of a chance.. but if your process name is bash, java, or python, maybe not as good as you would hope.
I don't have things crashing a lot, but it's naive to pretend that it never happens. It could result in two things: the rc system telling me that everything is fine or the rc system sending signals to some unrelated, poor, unsuspecting, processes.
I don't need a process monitor just for that. I have systemd. :-)
The commit which changed the defaults is this one: https://github.com/systemd/systemd/commit/45497f4d3b21230756...
systemd uses linux cgroups so that it knows exactly which pids belong to the group.
The defaults have surely changed over the years, but pid_max used to be ~32K by default. On the system I'm typing this comment on, /proc/sys/kernel/pid_max is set to 4194304.