Re:Articulate and Incompetent
by civilized on Saturday January 22, 2022 @05:55PM
(#30041644)
Some things do have simple neat correct explanations though. So it reduces to a tautology - "be suspicious of simple explanations in areas where you wouldn't expect a simple explanation to work".
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I’d argue that as a non-expert you can’t really assess whether a simple explanation would work or not, and therefore you’d have to be suspicious about having expectations that it would.
If you lack expertise enough to say if a simple explanation works, you lack expertise in complex ones too, and should probably stop trying to guess what's right based on very weak signals. Which was my original point.