You are right. On the other hand, we are not trying to increase the vaccination rate from 0% to 100%, it's more about convincing the remaining 10% to go, so the effect on the actual hospital utilization would be much lower. Plus, we don't know the hospital bed number per age (how many actual 30-year-olds are the problem?) and whether Omicron has a different picture.

So, in my mind, the amount of guesswork that's currently on the table warrants a tax-paid advertising campaign, but all censorship and forced vaccination measures do much more harm than good.