Do climate models predict extreme weather?

Re:Do climate models predict extreme weather? by labster on Sunday January 09, 2022 @12:38AM (#29860544)

That’s not really true. Anyone who has ever taught a freshman physics class is a bald-faced liar. We are absolutely certain Newtonian mechanics does not represent our universe. Yet for some reason we do not assume physicists lack credibility, even though we know for a fact that thousands upon thousands of physicists are teaching an entire semester of lies.

The lies are useful for making good decisions, though. I offer the same. A simplification that does not quite represent reality, but you should 100% consider it anyway if you build a bridge, because it will save you a world of hurt in the future.

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Re:Do climate models predict extreme weather? by vorpalhex on Sunday January 09, 2022 @01:15AM (#29860775)

"Newtonian physics is an accurate model of atomic scale physics, and that is what we will be teaching in this class" is not a lie, well within the understanding of a freshman, and very accurate. It might be worth discussing briefly when you need non-newtonian physics!

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Re:Do climate models predict extreme weather? by kuhewa on Sunday January 09, 2022 @03:30AM (#29861456)

Sure, but if you have a semester to talk statistics and climate modelling, you will be able to caveat the information with plenty of 'this has been simplified' warnings.

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Re:Do climate models predict extreme weather? by vorpalhex on Sunday January 09, 2022 @06:10PM (#29868402)

That seems fine. I don't see any problem here. You can also put those caveats with public talks.

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