Re:Why do 70% of families lose their wealth in the 2nd gener...
by dsizzle on Saturday January 08, 2022 @10:49AM
(#29852748)
> Now it's true that they don't get into detail about the estimate
That's one way to put it. I would say they declare it and offer no basis or detail whatsoever!
I agree with your point that stating 70% vs some made up precision is a (small) sign of integrity in conveying uncertainty, as opposed to the parent's comment coming to the opposite conclusion.
Re:Why do 70% of families lose their wealth in the 2nd gener...
by frgtpsswrdlame on Saturday January 08, 2022 @11:16AM
(#29853047)
>The 70% is said to be an estimate.
The commenter one up is correct, the number is complete BS which is why no one is ever able to explain how it was estimated or where it came from.
The 70% is said to be an estimate. Now it's true that they don't get into detail about the estimate (and that's a red flag for this kind of article - I'd prefer to hear more details - the article's pretty light on substance as it is), but just to explain: it's considered bad form to give more precision in an estimate than is meaningful. People might be mislead if they said 73.25345% of families for instance, as it gives an undue semblance of certainty and accuracy (even if that's the number that your method of estimation came up with, you'd be better off zeroing the part of the number that's just noise). Giving a round number is considered more honest and a better communication of the uncertainties involved. Though if you're not familiar with these conventions it might seem odd.