Re:Omicron at 100% Prevalence, Colorado
by shmel on Thursday January 06, 2022 @11:20AM
(#29825503)
I remember 6 months ago some researchers also said that Delta was so contagious that it is very unlikely that even more contagious variant arises. Oh well, sometimes unlikely events happen.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Based on what we see in other viruses, the practical evolutionary upper limit on R0 for respiratory viruses appears to be about 18.
https://www.vaccinestoday.eu/stories/what-is-r0/
Preliminary data on the Omicron variant indicates an R0 value in the 7 - 10 range. So SARS-CoV-2 might still have a little more room to evolve even higher contagiousness.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2...