Re:ASML reports fire at its Berlin factory
by zogomoox on Tuesday January 04, 2022 @06:14PM
(#29802299)
EUV and higher energy photons are difficult beasts, I would put my money on electrons next, so perhaps the electron microscope companies hold the interesting patents there.
Re:ASML reports fire at its Berlin factory
by CookiesNCream23 on Wednesday January 05, 2022 @11:43AM
(#29811274)
E beam lithography in credibly difficult. Recommend chapter 13 in "Principles of Lithography" https://spie.org/Publications/Book/2525392?SSO=1.
My opinions is that this whole comment discussion about creating a competitor is in the wrong direction. It is impossible to recreate and outperform what ASML has.
A better focus would be to tackle problems in the <2nm processes. If someone found a method to stop electron tunneling at smaller nodes, this will net much more revenue and create more value for society.
The sheer size of the supply chain you need to create to make a working machine is massive. It's one of the reasons why ASML got ahead of the Japanese companies that tried to do everything in-house.[3][4]
It took 17+ years and €6 billion in R&D to get EUV working [5] (as such EUV litography became feasible in the 90s), so ASML's leading position on the market is justified. They have to recoup all the costs, so they will make sure to keep the market leadership through all legal means.
My guess is that if someone would come up with a more efficient EUV plasma generation or better optic systems, ASML would acquire the company and take over the technology.
Regarding the negotiating power, some companies like GlobalFoundries couldn't afford ASML's EUV machines, so they parked their EUV plans [6]. It's only big players like TSMC, Samsung and Intel that can afford this tech and all these companies know their worth and prices. ASML needs money to pay for the R&D and can't afford to lose it's biggest customers that are also buying their non-bleeding edge technologies (DUV litography).
I don't know the business side of things, but it's definitely going to be interesting to see what happens with competition in the EUV litography in the upcoming 10+ years.
EUV litography and silicon-based chips have their physical limits, so there might be other ways to continue improvements.[7]
[1] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asml-holding-xtal-court-i...
[2] https://semiengineering.com/extending-euv-to-2nm-and-beyond/
[3] https://ideas.repec.org/p/eti/dpaper/05007.html
[4] https://youtu.be/SB8qIO6Ti_M?t=673
[5] https://www.asml.com/en/products/euv-lithography-systems
[6] https://www.anandtech.com/show/13277/globalfoundries-stops-a...
[7] https://semiengineering.com/making-chips-at-3nm-and-beyond/