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Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p... by hn_throwaway_99 on Sunday January 02, 2022 @01:27PM (#29771828)
> See the housing crisis during which experts and laypeople were equally fooled.

Not discounting your main point, but there were plenty of experts and laypeople that were completely unsurprised by the housing crisis. If anything, I think the housing crisis was more of a case that so many people had a vested interest in thinking/pretending the music would never stop.

Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p... by richardw on Sunday January 02, 2022 @02:53PM (#29772994)
Totally, I’ll claim to have been very pessimistic before it happened. Referenced the likely downturn in an economics assignment that didn’t impress my very optimistic lecturer. I missed the bottom though, was convinced we were going down a lot further. Don’t fight the Fed, I guess.