Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by daenz on Sunday January 02, 2022 @01:07PM
(#29771576)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_association_footballer...
Something is different about 2021. I'm not a data analyst, but maybe somebody can quantify how 2021 is an outlier.
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Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by 542458 on Sunday January 02, 2022 @03:54PM
(#29773766)
That’s not a complete list for any year, so comparisons of counts is meaningless - again, lots of room for biases to creep in here.
Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by daenz on Sunday January 02, 2022 @04:06PM
(#29773882)
>comparisons of counts is meaningless
Even if the data is biased, it's still useful when you account for the biases. What are you proposing is the bias for 2021?
Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by 542458 on Sunday January 02, 2022 @04:15PM
(#29773995)
A potential bias for 2021 would be that: In 2021 some people are worried about a vaccine->heart link and for any given event may be more likely to document it online and/or add it to Wikipedia. As such we might not be measuring number of cardiac arrests, and actually may be measuring public attention paid to cardiac arrest.
Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by daenz on Sunday January 02, 2022 @04:25PM
(#29774100)
What test could prove or disprove that hypothesis? Creating some criteria by which to include a death in the statistic? (eg, notability)
Re:Indiana life insurance CEO says deaths are up 40% among p...
by 542458 on Sunday January 02, 2022 @07:44PM
(#29775932)
Notability is sort of a bad metric since it’s incredibly subjective. And we’re not just worried about extraneous inclusions in 2021, we’re also concerned about missing data points for previous years - there’s no real statistical correction for “my inputs are biased in unknown ways”. You need to do real analyses with better quality data (i.e., national death registries) to find a ground truth to compare to. But good news, since this is quite a hot topic I’d expect that people are already looking into that.