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Re:Financial Independence / Retire Early Calculator by throw0101a on Saturday January 01, 2022 @04:11PM (#29762835)
> The 4% rule may not be entirely reliable. See: Ben Felix’s YouTube video on the topic.

Felix (and Cameron) recently interviewed Bengen (who came up with the rule) on their Rational Reminder podcast, and it may actually be 4.5% now:

* https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/135

* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_nYTrCxluaY

In 2006 he had it at 4.5% and in October 2020 at 5%:

* https://www.fa-mag.com/news/choosing-the-highest-safe-withdr...

The reason being is inflation.

The really high inflation of the 1970s (and 1980s) chewed up savings for retirees and brought down SAFEMAX down, but in the 1950s and '60s it was actually 5% per Bengen.

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