> Simulations suggest that drone guiding long range laser riding munitions are going to absolutely wreck anything not moving, and heavy artillery will be raining on all spotted convoys, heavy and otherwise, to disrupt movement.

IDK, various experts (real as well as armchair generals) have been predicting the end of heavy land units like tanks at the hand of various types of smart munitions for decades, whereas other experts have remained skeptical. We'll see, I guess.

> Countering aerial reconeissance is going to be key, and we're going to see shifts in the toe with a lot more light anti air assets being dispersed among troops.

Yes, I think so. So far drones have been used mostly in the context of a superpower (or a coalition including a superpower) fighting insurgents lacking any real AA capability. It'd be interesting to see [1] how it would all work out in a conflict between high-end peer adversaries.

EDIT: The 2020 Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict might be a template to study: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Nagorno-Karabakh_war

[1] Interesting in a technical sense, not that I'd wish war upon anyone.