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Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by lumost on Friday December 24, 2021 @01:05PM (#29675973)
there is a "natural" interest rate which is roughly what a lender would expect to earn when lending to a reputable borrower. The Federal Reserve/ECB may lend at a slightly lower/higher rate than this natural rate - but going far away from it leads to a crisis as the money supply becomes distorted.

There is a big difference between lending at 0% when "natural" interest is .25% and lending at 14% when natural interest is 20%. If inflation is 18% you're effectively giving consumers 4% return on borrowed money, which means everyone will borrow as much money as they possibly can and use it to purchase goods.

Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by jbay808 on Friday December 24, 2021 @02:02PM (#29676635)
> Lending at 14% when [...] inflation is 18%

In the US, inflation is nearly at 7%, while savings accounts yield around 0.05%. Doesn't that mean Americans are discouraged from keeping money in savings accounts about the same amount as Turks are?

Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by lumost on Friday December 24, 2021 @02:28PM (#29676920)
Quite possible that the US is going down the same route Turkey is. The US has an entrenched financial system that might take an extra 6 months to enter a crises.

The current belief is that the fed will manage inflation appropriately, and that the 7% headline number will vanish in a few months. Housing increasing 20% last year is a sign that the same incentive is there, getting a mortgage at 2% and then earning a free 5% interest is too good a deal to pass up.

Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by skybrian on Friday December 24, 2021 @05:11PM (#29678256)
Yes, it is discouraging. This is a reason why fixed income investments are quite unattractive right now. But there is a lag. After many years of low inflation many people haven’t changed habits yet. We still don’t expect that much inflation.
Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by JumpCrisscross on Friday December 24, 2021 @02:06PM (#29676684)
> Doesn't that mean Americans are discouraged from keeping money in savings accounts about the same amount as Turks are?

If you believe American inflation will remain there, yes. Few do. (Also, the Fed is tightening.)