Re:South Africa’s omicron coronavirus outbreak subsides as f...
by simonw on Wednesday December 22, 2021 @03:26PM
(#29654655)
7-day average graphs are pretty misleading when you have a new variant that grows at the rate that Omicron does. You might have no Omicron at all at the start of the seven day period and majority Omicron by the end of it, at which point the 7-day average really doesn't mean anything useful.
Re:South Africa’s omicron coronavirus outbreak subsides as f...
by tshaddox on Wednesday December 22, 2021 @03:29PM
(#29654715)
That graph is also incapable of clearly showing that deaths didn’t budge even if that actually is the case. The stroke on the deaths line is like half the total height indicated when the cases started to surge. Based on that terrible graph deaths could have tripled since cases started to surge.
> https://i.imgur.com/TgRmz4F.png [1]
Death always lag infections. That chart is a horrible representation because it doesn't give a good sense of the intermediate dates. But you can still tell with the "7-day average" string.
On the first/infection chart you see the graph touching the word "average" while the second/death chart you can clearly see the graph shifted away from the word "average".
By the same reasoning, the death count could still spike albeit not as high.