Current incidence is about 50. Israel has been the first country to experience that the immunity from vaccination wanes after 6 month and had a severe peak. If you look at the development of the caseload over time, it tracks the initial vaccination campaign, rises after 6 month, falls after the booster campaign.

The vaccine loosing effectiveness and the occurrence of partially vaccine-evading variants have been predicted from the outset. The open question was always where and when that would happen.

Edit: references for the Israeli case load and development over time https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-m... You can clearly identify the two peaks, about 6 month apart.